We appear about halfway down in this posting:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-coronavirus-could-change-how-we-vote-in-2020-and-beyond/

We appear about halfway down in this posting:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-coronavirus-could-change-how-we-vote-in-2020-and-beyond/

Cool to see the publicity for tonight’s event. But that picture, oh my gosh, that’s really old …

https://pamplinmedia.com/lor/54-my-community/450044-365762-increasing-voter-turnout-is-focus-of-w2dems-meeting?wallit_nosession=1

The first paper, “The Problems of Minimal Support: Considerations for an Establishment Survey of Local Election Officials,” is co-authored by Jay Lee and Paul Gronke.

Here is the abstract (click https:/evic.reed.edu/spsa_sampling_paper/ to view the full paper).

Continue reading

I’m following news coverage of the first election with early voting in New York State. I’ve been studying early voting for over fifteen years, and have dealt with a lot of journalists over time. It’s a learning experience for journalists new to the early voting “beat.”

One pattern that we see in almost every state is that older voters gravitate toward early voting (though this pattern typically changes as the system matures, as voters and campaigns adapt to early voting).

But otherwise, these first patterns are always fascinating. The linked story is from Erie County, NY does a nice job unpacking why elderly voters are so heavily represented among the early vote.

First, it looks like most early voting centers were places in senior citizen homes and community centers. And voter response is predictably high among those who frequent these locations.

Second, it’s a low profile election, and these are typically dominated by frequent voters, and elderly voters are far more likely to be frequent voters.

Good job, Buffalo NPR, WBFO!